Outlook 2026 – Opportunities and Challenges (Facts & Figure)

S. Kamal Hayder Kazmi

1 day ago

Outlook 2026 - Opportunities and Challenges (Facts & Figure)

Gross Domestic Product Of Pakistan (at constant basic prices of 2015-16) (Rs. Million)
S. No	Sector/Industry	2021-22	2022-23 (F)	2023-24 (R)	2024-25 (P)
	GDP Growth Rate (%)	6.18	-0.21	2.63	3.09
A	Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (1 to 4)	8,778,647	8,975,069	9,549,814	9,693,677
	1. Crops ( i+ii+iii)	3,083,439	3,047,425	3,378,267	3,342,394
	i) Important Crops	1,681,708	1,689,304	1,977,855	1,717,073
	ii) Other Crops	1,289,069	1,271,187	1,272,421	1,521,635
	iii) Cotton Ginning	112,662	86,934	127,991	103,686
	2. Livestock	5,387,611	5,587,106	5,831,984	6,004,248
	3. Forestry	185,162	217,372	215,428	221,160
	4. Fishing	122,435	123,166	124,135	125,875
B	Industrial Activities ( 1 to 4 )	7,421,583	7,133,708	7,069,946	7,441,486
	1. Mining and Quarrying	651,208	630,143	614,814	592,277
	2. Manufacturing ( i+ii+iii)	4,864,350	4,608,423	4,748,113	4,841,139
	i) Large Scale	3,626,559	3,269,760	3,300,544	3,277,720
	ii) Small Scale	768,249	838,794	914,697	996,224
	iii) Slaughtering	469,542	499,869	532,873	567,195
	3 Electricity, Gas and Water supply	926,804	1,016,276	840,240	1,084,291
	4. Construction	979,221	878,866	866,779	923,779
	Commodity Producing Activities (A+B)	16,200,230	16,108,777	16,619,760	17,135,163
C	Services ( 1 to 10)	22,643,030	22,651,994	23,161,955	23,877,185
	1. Wholesale & Retail trade	7,325,882	7,034,557	7,267,093	7,300,679
	2. Transportation & Storage	3,980,936	4,132,065	4,200,059	4,311,786
	3. Accommodation and Food Services Activities (Hotels & Restaurants)	541,222	563,348	586,418	610,325
	4. Information and Communication	1,125,119	1,118,252	1,166,286	1,248,048
	5. Financial and Insurance Activities	730,220	658,921	575,039	612,546
	6. Real Estate Activities (OD)	2,156,942	2,237,142	2,320,700	2,407,838
	7. Public Administration and Social Security (General Government)	1,853,122	1,722,958	1,602,278	1,749,539
	8. Education	1,071,646	1,133,051	1,247,057	1,291,499
	9. Human Health and Social Work Activities	600,835	657,046	679,024	702,896
	10. Other Private Services	3,257,106	3,394,654	3,518,001	3,642,029
D	GDP (Total of GVA at bp (A+B+C))	38,843,260	38,760,771	39,781,715	41,012,348
E	Taxes	2,906,476	2,672,001	2,749,577	3,239,612
F	Subsidies	779,803	632,838	466,788	617,533
G	GDP at mp (GVA+T-S)	40,969,933	40,799,934	42,064,504	43,634,427
H	Net Primary Income (NPI)	2,806,550	3,235,842	3,193,525	4,144,835
I	Gross National Income	43,776,483	44,035,776	45,258,029	47,779,262
J	GDP (at Current Market Prices)	66,657,868	83,650,830	105,379,298	113,934,970
GVA: Gross Value Added, mp: Market Prices, bp: Basic Prices, OD: Ownership of Dwellings

Pakistan: Central Government Debt (In Billion Rupees) (P)
Debt Instruments	Nov-24	Jun-25	Oct-25	Nov-25
A. Central Government Domestic Debt (a+b+c)	48,584	54,472	53,966	54,619
a. Long Term (i+ii+iii)	38,868	45,653	45,490	46,191
i. Permanent Debt (1+2+3+4)	35,645	42,252	41,976	42,656
ii. Unfunded Debt	2,851	3,021	3,135	3,154
iii. Foreign Currency Loans	373	380	379	381
b. Short Term	9,637	8,756	8,406	8,363
i. Floating Debt	9,637	8,756	8,406	8,363
c. Naya Pakistan Certificates	79	62	69	64
B. Central Government External Debt	21,780	23,417	23,004	22,925
Long Term	21,473	23,207	22,684	22,622
Short Term	307	210	320	303
Central Government Debt (A+B)	70,365	77,888	76,970	77,543
US Dollar, last day Weighted Average Customer Exchange Rates	278.0737	283.7493	280.9129	280.4693

Pakistan: CPI (National) by Group of Commodities and Services (Base 2015-16)
No	Group	GroupWeight (%)	Indices			% Change Dec 2025 Over		Impact (In % points) Dec2025 Over
	Group	GroupWeight (%)	Dec 25	Nov25	Dec24	Nov25	Dec24	Nov25	Dec24
	General	100.00	280.53	281.78	265.63	-0.45	5.61	-0.45	5.61
1.	Food & Non-alcoholic Bev.	34.58	291.47	297.90	282.32	-2.16	3.24	-0.79	1.19
	Non-perishable Food Items	29.60	299.93	298.67	279.03	0.42	7.49	0.13	2.33
	Perishable Food Items	4.99	241.30	293.35	301.87	-17.74	-20.07	-0.92	-1.14
2.	Alcoholic Bev. & Tobacco	1.02	399.71	399.67	384.67	0.01	3.91	0.00	0.06
3.	Clothing & Footwear	8.60	269.30	268.48	253.53	0.30	6.22	0.02	0.51
4.	Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Fuels	23.63	254.79	253.10	238.43	0.67	6.86	0.14	1.46
5.	Furnishing & Household Equipment Maintenance	4.10	283.08	282.83	273.77	0.09	3.40	0.00	0.14
6.	Health	2.79	285.52	284.42	265.00	0.38	7.74	0.01	0.22
7.	Transport	5.91	320.05	320.24	304.98	-0.06	4.94	0.00	0.34
8.	Communication	2.21	135.72	135.68	134.89	0.03	0.61	0.00	0.01
9.	Recreation & Culture	1.59	264.88	264.55	276.71	0.13	-4.28	0.00	-0.07
10.	Education	3.79	225.58	223.61	205.25	0.88	9.90	0.03	0.29
11.	Restaurants & Hotels	6.92	296.37	294.70	280.75	0.57	5.57	0.04	0.41
12.	Miscellaneous	4.87	360.59	354.92	302.35	1.60	19.26	0.10	1.07